The Forecasting Meetup Network

Join the community of prediction market traders, rationalists, effective altruists, sports bettors, and other forecasters coming together to improve humanity’s ability to predict the future.

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    Our Mission

    The mission of the Forecasting Meetup Network is to positively influence the future of humanity by promoting the practice of forecasting and use of prediction markets.​

    Our secret master plan to achieve this mission:

    1. Organize local forecasting meetups of forecasters, prediction market traders, and anyone else interested in predicting the future in Washington, DC.
    2. Expand meetups to other cities in the United States.
    3. Expand meetups to other cities and localities across the globe.
    4. In doing so, popularize, legitimize, and promote the practice of forecasting and use of prediction markets to predict the future.
    5. In doing so, influence key individuals and institutions best positioned to solve the most important problems in the world to use forecasting to improve their ability to predict the future.
    6. In doing so, positively influence the future of humanity.

    Our Meetups

    Meetups primarily include mingling, networking, and talking shop with fellow forecasters, giving you a chance to meet like-minded people, creating stronger connections and dedication to the art and science of forecasting. Meetups may sometimes involve live forecasting (for example, election night watch parties, Oscars watch parties, etc), forecasting games, speakers, or similar.

    Upcoming meetups:

    • Washington, DC: December 2024 at TBD. RSVP and details here.

    Who We Are

    We are forecasting hobbyists, prediction market traders (i.e. users of platforms like Manifold, Metaculus, and Good Judgment Open), political gamblers (i.e. users of platforms like PredictIt, Kalshi, and Polymarket), consumers of forecasting and related content (i.e. consumers of content from StarSpangledGamblers, Scott Alexander’s Astral Codex Ten, Nate Silver’s Silver Bulletin, and other Riverians), effective altruists, rationalists, sports bettors (i.e. users of platforms like FanDuel, DraftKings, and other sportsbooks), etc.

    Even if you don't fit any of the above descriptions, we'd love to have you! We welcome anyone interested in predicting the future, including academics interested in forecasting / decision-making / behavioral science / risk, financial services professionals (financial traders, quants, etc), regulators / journalists / other parties interested in the regulation of prediction market trading and related activities, political operatives and other professionals in position of decision-making authority about future events, etc.

    Sponsorship & Contact

    Interested in financially supporting the Forecasting Meetup Network? Want to launch a meetup chapter in your city? Have other questions? Reach out at forecastingmeetupnetwork[at]gmail.com.

    Sponsorship from forecasting and prediction market platforms, or any related entity, is welcomed! Financial support will be used to rent optimal meetup spaces, provide food for meetup attendees, purchase basic meetup supplies, etc.

    Individuals can learn more about providing financial support at https://manifund.org/projects/forecasting-meetup-network---washington-dc-pilot-4-meetups